Recent Play Details

3% Take Colorado (#318)

It feels like every wiseguy in the world wants to bet against Deion Sanders right now.  Frankly, I think some of it’s personal – they don’t like the guy.  And then there are the ‘Colorado won one game, now there’s going to be a huge letdown’ types, who don’t seem to be reading between the lines regarding this Buffaloes program here in 2023.  And then there are the ‘well, I didn’t think my power rating number on a team could be two touchdowns off, so I’m not going to adjust my numbers as much as I should’ gang, bettors who are finding ‘value’ on the Nebraska side this week, and betting this line down from the -3 that we saw for much of the week.

I’m not buying any of those arguments.  Colorado has team speed.  Colorado has playmakers – on both sides of the football, despite their shoddy defensive showing last week.  Nebraska QB Jeff Sims spent three years burning backers at Georgia Tech, and he opened his tenure with the Cornhuskers by throwing three interceptions and being unable to move the team down the field for a score when it matters most; a ‘bet-against’ QB in this pointspread range.  No program in college football has more one score losses in recent years than Nebraska – they seem to expect it, waiting for the other shoe to drop when they have a lead.  No hesitation here betting WITH the public, AGAINST the wiseguys, backing the speedy, confident team over the slower squad that keeps finding ways to lose.  Take Colorado.

3% at -3 or lower, 2% at -3.5 or higher