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(471) Las Vegas Raiders at (472) Denver Broncos

Play Rating: 3%

Play Type: Full Game Side

Play: Las Vegas Raiders +4.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Sept 10, 2022 4:25 PM EDT / Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line

(Game Analysis Below) - Done in Outline Form with my notes from a recent show 

From the Category Of “If It Ain’t Broke Don’t Fix It” 

Raiders currently own this series going 8-2 straight up & 9-1 ats in the last 10 meetings

Raiders are 5-0 ats in Denver L5 seasons / 3-2 straight up with outright wins of 10 & 6 the L2 meetings here  

3 of the L5 in Denver have been decided by 1 point

Perception & storylines lean heavily toward the Broncos being a superior team

New HC Sean Payton makes Denver an AFC West & playoff contender

He’ll fix QB Russell Wilson & the offense / His culture is a “wining culture”

Meanwhile you hear next to nothing about the Raiders and they’re looked at nationally as an afterthought in the Division

“Jimmy G isn’t going to improve them whatsoever”

It would all make you feel like Denver in their home season opener is the much better side

Could all be true but in Week #1 I’m not so sure  

Aside From Their Series Dominance since 2018 Las Vegas Does Have A Few Advantages In This Particular Spot 

Las Vegas is in the Second Year Of HC Josh McDaniels tenure so they figure to be far more “on field” cohesive than Denver in Payton’s 1st game

QB Jimmy Garoppolo knows McDaniels offensive playbook from their time in New England – Wilson is being converted into a different style than he’s been playing the past few seasons  

Broncos summer camp injuries to starting LB Baron Browning & WR’s Tim Patrick & Jerry Jeudy (? Doing light conditioning) – hurt those units

Josh Jacobs return to the Raiders is a positive difference maker

Final Analysis & Selection

Raiders have improvements to make off of last season but so does Denver

Broncos pass rush, OL play / passing game were all miserable last season and they all need to be significantly better this year 

Feel here in Week #1 like their starting points are different and Las Vegas at this point is a little ahead of Denver  

And again, despite all the Raiders troubles the past 5 seasons they’ve almost always found a way to be pointspread successful in the head-head matchup  

Divisional game is of the highest importance to each team so expect max effort AND Denver is not the only team that wants to redeem themselves 

Seems like another extremely tight game where the Raiders have a solid opportunity to win which makes +3 and the hook worth taking 

Prediction: Las Vegas Raiders +4.5 (-110)