Recent Play Details

4% (911) TEXAS 1st 5 INNINGS  +105
 

We have a few things in play with this one. Let’s start with the fact that Baltimore is returning home from a Road Trip. We like fading the Home team in the 1st game of a Home stand. We also expect Baltimore to be flat after just finishing taking 2 of 3 from the Yankees. Baltimore is definitely on Fat n Sassy alert after playing the Mighty Yankees. Then we have this Pitching Match Up as Texas sends Jon Gray to the mound who has been a Beast in his L3 starts allowing just 2 runs in his L3 starts. His ERA is 0.90 and his WHIP is 0.80. Gray’s K/BB Ratio was 19-4 in those 3 starts meaning he had full command of all of his Pitches. Baltimore sends Grayson Rodriguez to the mound who has an ERA of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.64 in 9 starts this season. I am making this a 1st 5 Inning Play as I want to take the Bullpens out of the equation.  We also find the following:
 

KEY STAT: BALTIMORE is just 5-21 against the money line in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons
 

KEY STAT: TEXAS is 12-3 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season
 

TAKE  TEXAS 1st 5 INNINGS  as my 4%  MLB 1st 5 INNING GAME OF THE WEEK