2% #549 Miami Heat (+8) over Boston Celtics —
If you led off with the TT, I mentioned that I was going to get back to that revenge angle for the Heat … the most consistent aspect of this Miami team, nearly all season. In the last 12 games they are 10-2 SU (11-1 ATS) revenging that SUATS L where they were held under 100 points … putting up 121 PPG in the L8!! They are 7-2 SU (8-1 ATS) in the L9 revenging a double-digit L (as a dog or 1-point favorite).
They have covered AND WON 8 of the L11 games as at TD Gardens, plus Boston is just 4-11 ATS as a HF of more than 6, after travel.
Although, with their backs against the wall, I would be hesitant to bet against Boston on the money line, but with this big of a point spread, I am definitely backing Miami tonight.
I think Miami’s offense is set to bounce back tonight, and will make this a competitive game.