The Celtics have shown a tendency to struggle defensively when transitioning from road to home or vice versa. In those games, they have allowed an average of 111.9 points, compared to 107.8 points in games without travel. This lack of defensive stability has resulted in the Celtics going 7-2 to the over in such situations this season.
On the other side, the Heat have performed exceptionally well on the road this season, boasting a 5-3 record straight up, 6-2 against the spread, and an impressive 7-1 to the over, including 7-0-1 to their team total over. In fact, they have hit the over the 103.5 mark in 13 of their 17 postseason games thus far.
Regardless of the game's outcome, a bounce-back performance from the Heat's offense is expected, leading to them exceeding the 103.5 team total.
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