Recent Play Details

4% Washington +1.5 (7:05 ET): This will be my second time taking the Nationals in the last four days! They won for me, rather easily, on Sunday against the Tigers, jumping out to an early 6-1 lead and holding on for a 6-4 victory. In that victory, the Nats matched a season-high with 18 hits. Now, after getting Monday off, the series opener here vs. San Diego didn’t go as well with Washington losing 7-4. But it was a game that was close until the Padres broke things open in the top of the 7th. I’ll reiterate what I wrote Sunday and that’s the Nats aren’t as bad as you might think. Their YTD run differential (-24) is better than division rivals Philadelphia and Miami. 

San Diego is another team I won with on Sunday (they clobbered Boston 7-0). But going into that game, the Padres had lost not just the first two games of that series, but also four in a row and 9 of 10 overall. They are still four games below .500 for the year with fewer runs scored than the Nationals. On the road, SD hitters had a collective batting average of just .217 going into yesterday’s game. This is a team that has struggled to string wins together so far in 2023; in fact they have just ONE three-game win streak since April 9th. 

So I’ll gladly take the +1.5 with the home team in this instance. The Padres’ starter for Wednesday will be Ryan Weathers, who was just recalled from Triple-A to take the injured Seth Lugo’s spot in the rotation. Going back to 2021, Weathers has a 3-10 team start record. He’s made four previous starts for SD this season, losing the last two, including giving up four runs in 5 ⅔ innings in the last one (5/14). The Nationals counter with Trevor Williams (2.55 ERA at home), who had a quality start his last time out (despite losing at Miami) with only three runs and five hits allowed in 6 IP. Before that, the Nats had won three straight Williams’ starts. 4% Washington +1.5 (Play to -140)