Recent Play Details

3% Take St Louis – Cincinnati OVER (#953-954) (listed pitchers)

The Cardinals lineup is clicking on all cylinders right now, pounding out 37 runs in their last five ballgames while cashing four Overs in the process.  That’s bad news for struggling Reds starter Graham Ashcraft, who has allowed 22 hits and 19 runs in just 12.1 innings of work in his last three outings. The Cardinals hammered him twice last year – both meetings against them; 16 hits and eight earned runs allowed in just 9.1 innings of work.  Cinci’s bullpen behind him continues to struggle; more than capable of a late game implosion should we need it.  The Great American Ballpark has been a house of horrors for aging Adam Wainwright, including an 0-2 mark with a 9.58 ERA on this field last year.  It’s not like Wainwright is in good current form – he’s allowed 13 runs over 15 innings in three previous starts this season; nary a quality start in the bunch.  The Cardinals bullpen behind him has been overused significantly since their last day off back on May 11th. On a warm, humid night in Cincinnati, expect runs in bunches.  Take the OVER.

Line Parameter: 3% at 10 or lower (up to -125), 2% at 10 (-126 or higher) or 10.5