3* Colorado Rockies (+1.5 runs ; -138) over Miami Marlins —
Miami was a team that everyone was keeping an eye on with their offseason trades and acquisitions, but with a few recent injuries, Miami isn’t currently reaching what most people thought was their full potential. They have tried to play “base-hit-baseball”, as they aren’t exactly the most convincing long-ball threat, but it hasn’t worked out as planned, at least against lefties. While they are hitting .280 in games started by LHP, they are just 3-8 on the RL in those 11 games, including 0-5 on the road!
Not only is Miami facing a LHP here today with Gomber on the mound, but they are also a decent sized favorite … yet Miami is just 3-13 on the RL as (-1.5) run favorites on the run line. On the other hand, Colorado is 7-2 on the RL in the L9 as a HD, and winning by over 2 runs/game SU.
Colorado has covered 8 of their L10 home games and have covered 4 straight as a D after winning the opening game of the series. They are 6-1 against Miami when playing in Colorado over the L3Y, showing the success that the team has had against the Marlins. Even Austin Gomber has had success against Miami, winning (and covering) both of his starts against the Marlins in his career, allowing just 1 ER in 11 IP.