Recent Play Details

5% Colorado (8:40 ET): I’m going to be looking to play against the Miami Marlins, who are .500 despite a -56 YTD run differential, quite a bit moving forward. Just how are the Fish 24-24 on the year in spite of the National League’s worst run differential? Well, they’ve been extraordinarily fortunate to go 15-2 in one-run games this season. That means in all other games they are a horrendous 9-22 and being outscored by 69 runs. Only the Royals and Athletics (both of whom have 35+ losses) have worse YTD run differentials than -69. Perhaps we are starting to see some regression in Miami as the team has dropped three of its last four, including the season opener here in Colorado last night by a score of 5-3. 

Monday was a much needed result for the home team, who had just been swept out in Texas over the weekend. But, as everyone knows, the Rockies are a much different (i.e. better) team when they’re playing at Coors Field. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Rocks are 100-85 at home and 62-124 on the road. After a slow start to 2023, they’ve now won four of their last five at Coors. We’ve got some hot hitters in this Rockies lineup right now, most notably Jurickson Profar, who has a 30-game streak of getting on base (longest in the majors). 

In a starting pitching matchup of Eury Perez for Miami and Austin Gomber for Colorado, most will give the edge to the former. But this will be Perez’s 1st time starting at Coors. (He’s a rookie). Gomber went four consecutive starts (two at home) without allowing more than 3 ER before giving up five runs his last time out (Rockies still won that last start). The Marlins bring the worst offense in all of MLB (3.5 rpg) to Coors and only scored three times last night. They have closed as road favorites of -125 or higher only one other time this season (and lost that game). This is a great value on the home team, IMO. 5% Colorado (Play to -130)