While Brandon Williamson had a strong debut for the Reds, his minor league statistics indicate that we can expect some negative regression from him. This could pose a challenge for him against the Cardinals, who have been in excellent offensive form lately. Their potent lineup may exploit any weaknesses and put pressure on Williamson.
On the other side of the mound, Jordan Montgomery has actually been performing decently this season, despite his record not reflecting it. In fact, I anticipate some positive regression from him in this game. It's an opportune moment for him to shine, especially considering the Reds' current four-game losing streak. The combination of Montgomery's improved performance and the Reds' struggling offense could work in favor of the Cardinals.
Taking into account these factors, the Cardinals appear to be in a favorable position to secure a victory over the Reds. The potential for negative regression from Williamson, coupled with Montgomery's anticipated positive regression and the Reds' recent struggles, suggests that the Cardinals have a strong chance of coming out on top in this matchup.