Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica
Liga Portugal, Sunday, 3:30pm ET
HUGE derby in the Portuguese Liga, with league leaders Benfica playing host to hateful rivals Sporting Lisbon. Benfica are sitting at the top of the league with 83 points, just 1 point above Porto. A win here would see them clinch the title, and in the home ground of their hateful rivals.
Sporting Lisbon are sitting 4th with 70 points, currently sitting in the Europa League spot. They are 5 points behind Braga and the Champions League spot (and with a match in hand). That means that if they win today, not only will they avoid watching their hateful rivals celebrate the title, but they will also move just 2 points behind Braga ahead of the final match-day. So, besides bragging rights against their hateful rivals, Sporting are also actively interested in points.
It's really tough to cap this match in terms of sides or totals, as both teams are in top form right now. And matches between these two always produce a lot of cards, and this is where we are going.
Card Totals in L13 matches between the two: 7/4/7/9/10/8/7/8/12/7/8/8/9
Over 6.5 Cards is 12-1 in L13 matches. Over 7.5 Cards is 8-5 in L13 matches.
A total of 104 cards in L13 matches, or an average of 8 cards per match. BLOODBATH.
Referee Pinheiro dished out 12 cards in the Porto vs Benfica derby earlier in the season, and 8 cards in the Cup match between Sporting and Porto. Last season he dished out 15 cards in the match between Porto and Sporting.
Important note: a lot of books are onto this match. They don't offer card props, and for a very good reason. They too are expecting a bloodbath between the two. However, B365 does offer these props, and I would suggest you do some digging on other sportsbooks.
Taking the Over 7.5 Cards -114 (at B365), or wherever you can find it
Play: Over 7.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -114
Line Parameter: Playable to -120, no play if odds lower than -120