Recent Play Details

Torino vs Fiorentina
Serie A, Sunday, 11am ET

Fiorentina coming off an exhausting match against Basel in the Europa Conference League semi-finals, where they sent the match to extra time and scored the winning goal at the 10th (!) minute of stoppage time. That win sent them to the final of the competition, which is in about 10 days from now, and Fiorentina are also in the Coppa Italia final, which is set to be played on Wednesday. They simply do not care about this league match against Torino, as they have nothing to play for in the Serie A. Fiorentina are tired, they are celebrating their recent win, and have multiple distractions coming up in the next 10 days. 

Now they are hosted by Torino, who are in good form right now (3 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw) and are VERY much interested for the win. They are sitting just 3 points behind Monza and the 8th spot that is likely to grant a European ticket for next season. This is a GREAT spot for Torino to get the 3 points, as their two remaining matches are against Spezia (who are battling relegation and will fight for points) and against Inter Milan just 6 days prior to the Champions League final. 

Torino have a +0.15 xG Differential at home, while Fiorentina have a -0.17 xG differential on the road. 

Torino lost when the two met in the Cup quarter-finals, but they beat Fiorentina by 1-0 on the road earlier in the season, and last season they beat them by 4-0 in this venue. 

Very tempted to take Torino ML at +110, but we can't rule out the event of a Draw, so we are going to get creative here. Taking a Same Game Parlay with Torino or Tie & Over 1.5 Goals. And here is where it gets interesting, and we ALWAYS point this out: 

DraftKings has ready-made Same Game Parlays for you to choose. You can find this parlay under the "Game Parlays" tab, scroll down to find "Double Chance/Total" and you will see that Torino or Tie & Over 1.5 Goals is at -175.

HOWEVER. 

If you click on the Same Game Parlay tab and create the EXACT SAME SGP, the price is -130, which is a HUGE jump in odds. DON'T LEAVE MONEY ON THE TABLE, and ALWAYS check this out because the odds are MUCH different.

Play: Torino or Tie & Over 1.5 Goals

Odds at Time of Release: -130

Line Parameter: Playable to -135, no play if odds lower than -135