Recent Play Details

3% #540 Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5) over Denver Nuggets – 

This is a big swing in the line between games 2 and game 3, but there is a huge shift in site in this game, especially with the Lakers coming home trailing 2-0 in the series. 

The Lakers have dominated their home court in the playoffs, winning (and covering) all 6 games in LA since the start of the playoffs (winning by over 18 PPG)! They have covered 9 of their L12 overall and have actually had a big edge in the H2H series when the games are played at LA. Los Angeles is 7-4-1 ATS vs. Denver overall in the L3Y, but they are 4-1 @ H (winning by 12 PPG). Although if you look back a little farther, the Lakers have won 8 of the L9 games against the Nuggets at home. They are also 8-1 ATS @ H vs. teams winning 60-70% of their games this season (winning by over 7 PPG). 

One interesting league-wide trend that I did find was teams off B2B losses to start a playoff series as a dog of 5+ in both games … and now playing as a F of MORE than 1 point in game 3 … 32-12 SU, 28-14-2 ATS, with home court advantage proving pivotal. 

Meanwhile, Denver hasn’t been the best road team this season … when the Nuggets are playing the road as a F or a D or 10 or less, they are just 17-25 ATS. They are just 4-13 ATS on the road after 2 or more consecutive wins (losing by nearly 7 PPG SU) and just 8-18 ATS after 3+ consecutive wins, regardless of site.