Recent Play Details

2% #911 Baltimore Orioles (+125) over Toronto Blue Jays — w/ Rodriguez & Manoah — 

Baltimore is off an upset win in the opening game of this series, and Saturday, I think they have another shot of pulling the division upset. 

Baltimore has Grayson Rodriguez on the mound for this one, and the Orioles have won 6 of his L7 starts. He is 1-0 against the division, and while he has only made one start against the AL East, he went 5 ⅔ innings and allowed just 2 ERs against the powerful Rays offense. 

Toronto has Alek Manoah on the mound, while he once was a highly coveted ace, this season he has posted an 8.50 ERA @ H in 4 starts. He has allowed 17 ERs in just 18 IP @ H and the Blue Jays have lost 5 of his L6 starts. In the last 2 weeks he has the 4th highest FIP of any pitcher with over 5 IP (10.34), and he has the 6th highest FIP in May of all pitchers w/ 3+ games (7.76). His team is just 2-8 in his 10 starts @ H vs. teams w/ a winning record and they are 0-4 this year alone in his starts against the division! 

Baltimore has won 13 of their L19 road games, including an impressive 12-4 record as a D of less than 150 or a favorite on the road! Not to mention they have the 8th highest wRC+ on the road this month! 

Toronto is just 1-9 in the L10 games against their own division, including 0-8 as a F of (-130) or more … losing those 8 games by 3 runs on average! They are also 0-4 against the division as a F of more than (-105) after losing the previous game (against the same opponent) as a favorite.