Recent Play Details

8:30 PM ET -- NBA

535 L.A. Lakers 
536 Denver Nuggets    

Play: UNDER 226 (-110)

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 225 or better
2% play at 224 or 224.5
1% play at 223 or 235.5

My NBA totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data (using NBA.com's stats for pace and offensive & defensive efficiency), history involving similar games from a situational perspective (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Additional Trends/Angles/Thoughts:

These teams shot the lights out in Game 1.  The Lakers shot 54.8% from the field and 45.8% from 3-point range, while Denver shot 54.9% from the field and 46.9% from 3-point range.  I'm expecting a much more defensive oriented game tonight.  The Nuggets damn near blew a huge lead in Game 1, so they should be focused on getting stops.  The Lakers don't wanna dig themselves an 0-2 hole and they know that their strength has been defense.  I'm expecting this game to finish at around 222 total points.