Recent Play Details

3% Take St Louis – LA Dodgers OVER (#903-904) (Listed Pitchers)

The Dodgers play the majority of their games in ballparks where scoring is deflated.  The ball doesn’t carry at Dodgers Stadium, or in San Diego against the Padres or in San Francisco against the Giants; all notoriously lower scoring ballparks.

LA is 23-20 with one push to the Over this season.  They are 13-11 to the Under in 24 previous home games.  They went 4-2 to the Under at San Diego and at San Fran.  And they are 10-3-1 to the Over in every other game in every other park that they’ve played in; 10-2 to the Over in their last dozen games in this subset.  Playing the Dodgers OVER the total in non-pitcher friendly ballparks makes a whole lot of sense to this bettor.

Both line-ups are in solid current form; bad news for a pair of suspect starters tonight.  41 year old Adam Wainwright has been hit hard in both previous outings this season, cashing Overs in both games.  Current Dodgers have hit .313 against him in a significant 147 at bat sample size.  Julio Urias has let current Cardinals hit .296 against him and his home/road splits aren’t pretty so far this year, with a 6.10 ERA on the highway.  Look for the first game of this series to produce runs in bunches, cashing Over bets with room to spare.  Take the OVER.

Line Parameter: 3% at 9 or lower, 2% at -9.5 or higher