Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A, Sunday, 3pm ET
Flamengo are having a BLAST in their home matches as of late, counting 6 wins in L7 matches. What's even more impressive is the fact that they have scored 2+ goals in all 7 of those matches (even in the 2-3 loss to Botafogo), a total of 24 goals, or an average of 3.42 goals per match.
Corinthians are in the opposite side of things, conceding 2+ goals in each of L5 away matches (all losses), a total of 12 goals, or an average of 2.4 conceded goals per away match.
Flamengo have traditionally been very good when hosting Corinthians, losing just 1 of L10 matches, winning 7 in the process (7 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws).
Both teams have Copa Libertadores matches coming up mid-week, but Flamengo are much more comfortable in their group, and have an easier match. Corinthians have a much tougher match coming up, and they need the points, otherwise they can kiss the qualification goodbye.
Flamengo have given us no reason to doubt them at home, while Corinthians have given us every reason to doubt them on the road. Take Flamengo -1 here, which is still at -113 at Barstool.
Play: Flamengo -1
Odds at Time of Release: -113
Line Parameter: Playable to -125, reduce 2% to -140, no play if odds lower than -140