Recent Play Details

5% #901 Washington Nationals (+1.5 runs ; -155) over Miami Marlins — 4% if it hits (-175) 

This is a little higher than I normally like to look at when it comes to laying the juice, but there is still too much value left on the table here for the Nationals. I would think this run line would be (-180) or higher, I mean, Washington is now 17-4 on the run line on the road this season, covering nearly 81% of their away games!! 

They are winning those games SU on average, putting up 5 runs/game and allowing just 4.1. Although, even the losses are by just 1 run a majority of the time, just as the 1st two games in this series have been. On the other side of that, Miami is struggling even with their off-season acquisitions, and now they are dealing with the injury to Jazz Chisholm. This Miami team is just 6-18 on the RL @ H, averaging just 3.2 runs, but allowing 4.5! 

The Marlins are just 3-11 on the RL as a HF, and have failed to cover 10 of the L12! These opposite trends carry over to their division games as well. Washington is one of the beset, posting a 9-3 RL record against their division, while Miami is now just 4-18! 

Miami has failed to cover 11 of their L14, while the Nationals are 12-3 on the RL in the L15! These two teams are polar opposites and the quick turnaround to tomorrow’s game is also a situation where the Nationals have been effective. When they are playing a day game against the same opponent they played the night before, Washington is 7-2 on the RL in the L9, winning 5 of the L6 straight up!

Plus, I haven’t even mentioned the starting pitching yet. Trevor Williams is on the mound for the Nationals and he is 1-0 with a 2.95 ERA in his career against Miami, but his team is 4-0 in his 4 starts! He has posted B2B starts against this Miami team without allowing an earned run, and Washington has won 7 straight William’s starts on the RL (including 5 SU as a dog).