I talked about this game in detail (which would have been in greater detail until I was interrupted) on WagerTalk Today and you can find the replay of the show here:
WagerTalk Today (Tuesday): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bUEm5xUAKrQ
Yesterday I wrote about the injury concerns for Doosan (you can find the write up on the ANALYSIS link next to that play) and that still very much applies here.
Instead of a bullpen game Doosan has opted to go with 20 year old LHP Won-Jae Lee for his KBO debut. Not much is known about Lee but what I do know is he wasn't a top draft pick and wasn't called up at any point last year (for a struggling Doosan team that needed pitching) so I'm willing to bet on this move being out of necessity (Gwak Been and Dylan File on DL) than it being Won-Jae Lee being ready to be a starter in KBO.
Kiwoom goes with Chan-Heon Jeong, I've successfully bet against him twice since he made his 2023 debut but both were tough luck losses as Jeong went 6 innings and gave up just one run in each with the opposition winning in a pitchers duel.
Jeong gives up plenty of contact but SSG and LG couldn't hit him hard and Doosan probably wont either as the Bears .246 team batting average is 9th out of 10 KBO teams.
Doosan has won four straight and has had a ton of high leverage relief usage the past few days so this just isn't a great spot for the Doosan pitching staff. I'll back Kiwoom to finally get the bats going, the Heroes have been far better at home this season and I think they get the win here.
Play on Kiwoom Heroes -130 for 4% (or 4 units)