Recent Play Details

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wt.buzz/db

6:35 PM ET -- MLB 

909 Los Angeles Angels 
910 Baltimore Orioles 

Play: 910 BALTIMORE -135  

List Pitchers: Silseth & Kremer  

Bet Size: 4% 

Line Parameters: 
4% play at -140 or better 
3% play at -141 to -145
2% play at -146 to -150  
1% play at -151 to -155 

The Angels took Game 1 of this series last night, which is a rare Game 1 loss for the Orioles this season.  But, despite an average line of -115, the Halos are just 1-6 this season in Game 2 of a series when they won Game 1.  The only win was with Ohtani on the mound.  No such luck today.  Baltimore won its only Game 2 this season when coming off a series-opening loss and they did it as a +117 underdog against the Rays.  The Orioles are also 16-3 this season as a favorite of more than -110.

Dean Kremer gets the start for the O's.  Kremer's history shows that he struggles in March/April (7.25 ERA, .333 BA, .952 OPS, 1.72 WHIP) and starts to find his form in May (4.11 ERA, .246 BA, .763 OPS, 1.34 WHIP).  That form has held true this season.  Kremer produced a 6.67 ERA, .314 BA, and 1.58 WHIP in April, but through two May starts owns a 0.75 ERA, .233 BA, and 1.17 WHIP.

Going back to last season and despite an average line of +134, Baltimore is 10-2 when Kremer starts against a team with a winning record.  In that same timeframe and despite an average line of +129.5, the O's are 8-2 when Kremer starts against good power-hitting teams that are averaging at least 1.25 homers per game on the season.

Chase Silseth starts for the Angels.  Silseth is making his first 2023 start after four relief appearances.  His last appearance was nine days ago and it was his longest outing so far this season, as he faced 18 batters in 3.1 innings, allowing 3 earned runs on 5 hits and 2 walks against Texas.  Silseth's last road start came at Oriole Park at Camden Yards last July when he took the loss, allowing 4 runs in 4 innings.

I expect Kremer to perform better than Silseth, as I don't expect the Angels righty to make it through 5 innings.  So, I'm gonna do something I haven't done before this season.  I'm playing Baltimore F5 and full game.

6-1 (fade LAA off Game 1 win)
16-3 (O's as > -110 chalk)
10-2 (Kremer vs winning teams)
8-2 (Kremer vs power teams)
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40-8 83.3% situational angles