Recent Play Details

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wt.buzz/db

10:10 PM ET -- MLB 

973 Minnesota Twins 
974 Los Angeles Dodgers 

Play: 974 LA DODGERS -115  

List Pitchers: Lopez & Syndergaard  

Bet Size: 3% 

Line Parameters: 
3% play at -125 or better 
2% play at -126 to -130  
1% play at -131 to -135 

At first, you may think the road team is the play here because we don't often see a price this short on the Dodgers at home.  But, since last season, the Dodgers are 16-2 at home when the line is even money to -150.

And I get why the line is so low.  Just look at Pablo Lopez's overall numbers compared to Noah Syndergaard's overall numbers.  Then factor in how the Twins lit up the scoreboard over the weekend, producing 11 runs on 13 hits on Saturday, and 16 runs on 18 hits yesterday.  But the Dodgers have hit Lopez well (.324 average and .370 wOBA in 74 plate appearances), and the Twins did their offensive damage at home over the weekend.  Now they had to travel and that alone is enough to halt that offensive momentum.

Speaking of momentum, LA has won 5 straight, 13 of its last 15, and 9 straight at home.  They haven't allowed more than 2 runs during the current 5-game win streak.  Noah Syndergaard has pitched well at home.  And LA owns the better bullpen and they're especially good at home.  I like LA to make it 6 straight wins and 10 in a row at home tonight.