Recent Play Details

3% (804) TENNESSEE +3.5

What a difference a month makes as this line probably would of been a Pick a month ago but Duke has rolled off 10 Wins in a row while Tennessee went 5-5 their L10. Yes Duke is playing their best basketball of the season right now but for the most part the 10 game stretch was against the bottom teams in the ACC or they caught teams in bad scheduling spots or with injuries. Speaking of injuries Tennessee was without 2 key players for a good portion of that 5-5 record. Those guys are back but because of Duke’s run I feel the linesmakers and public have Duke over valued and I have to take the dog here. Tennessee is the better team defensively and I always say give me the better defense getting points and I’m there. My numbers have TENNESSEE by 4 or more. We also find the following:
 

KEY STAT: DUKE is 4-12 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons
 

KEY STAT: DUKE is 5-13 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons
 

KEY STAT: TENNESSEE is 8-1 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less over the last 2 seasons
 

TAKE TENNESSEE as my 3% CBB PLAY