Recent Play Details

3% Take Arkansas (#809)

There aren’t many coaches who I respect more in March than Eric Musselman, making his 6th NCAA Tournament appearance in the last seven seasons dating back to his tenure at Nevada.  And Arkansas’ season long stats aren’t telling the true story of a squad that has battled significant injuries for much of the season, as healthy as they’ve been all year right now.  Plain and simple – Arkansas is undervalued in the betting markets even with this line looking very short. 

Let’s not forget that the Razorbacks rank #13 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom, a Top 20 team in Pom’s rankings.  And the SEC has certainly proved their mettle in the opening round of the Big Dance: 6-2 SU in eight first round games. 

Kansas won’t have Bill Self on the sidelines again today.  They’re just 7-12 (37%) ATS as favorites of -4 or higher this season, and their offense has looked ‘stuck in the mud’ for extended stretches against the better defensive teams they’ve faced in recent weeks.  This game has ‘down to the final possession’ written all over it, making Arkansas plus more than a bucket a clear choice for this bettor.  Take Arkansas

Line Parameter: 3% at +3.5 or higher, 2% at +3 or lower