Recent Play Details

12:10 PM ET -- College Basketball

801 Furman 
802 San Diego State  

Play: 1H UNDER 64 (-110)

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 63 or better
2% play at 62.5
1% play at 62

My college hoops totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Additional Trends/Angles/Thoughts:

Furman got by Virginia and scored 68 points despite shooting under 40% from the field.  The game stayed under the first-half total (a 5% winner for us), but snuck over the full-game total.  San Diego State doesn't play at quite as slow of a pace as Virginia, but they do rank 346th out of 363 teams in Defensive Average Possession Length, which puts them in Virginia territory. Furman lives & dies by the 3-pointer.  That worked against a Virginia team that is mediocre (#186) in 3-point Percentage Allowed.  But that probably won't work as well against this Aztecs team that ranks #6 in 3-point Percentage Allowed.  San Diego State has played UNDER in 9 straight games.  I'm willing to bet they make it 10.