Recent Play Details

12:15 PM ET -- College Basketball

747 West Virginia 
748 Maryland  

Play: 1H UNDER 63.5 (-110)

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 64 or better
2% play at 63.5
1% play at 63

My college hoops totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Additional Trends/Angles/Thoughts:

NOTE: I'm not concerned with sample size.  My focus is on current-season data, preferably with a margin of victory of more than two possessions (6 points).  All trends/angles listed are from the current season only unless otherwise noted.

-> Play the 1H UNDER in NCAA Tournament games with a 1H Total of less than 70 that start prior to 2pm ET.
55-28-3 (66.3%) since 2011.

-> Play the 1H UNDER in the First Four or Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament.
84-57-2 (60%) since 2018.

-> The UNDER is 7-0 when Maryland is a dog with a total less than 140.  There were only an average of 54.9 total first-half points scored in those games.

-> The UNDER is 6-0 when Maryland is coming off a game in which it allowed its opponent to shoot 49% or better from the field.   There were only an average of 57.1 total first-half points scored in those games.