Recent Play Details

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7 PM ET -- College Basketball

719 Morehead State 
720 Clemson  

Play: 1H UNDER 65 (-110)

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 64 or better
2% play at 63.5
1% play at 63

My college hoops totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Additional Trends/Angles/Thoughts:

NOTE: I'm not concerned with sample size.  My focus is on current-season data, preferably with a margin of victory of more than two possessions (6 points).

-> UNDER is 7-2 (by 6.2 ppg, including 1 OT) this season when Morehead State is on the road against teams that are averaging 21 or more 3-point attempts per game on the season.

-> UNDER is 3-0 this season (by 8.2 ppg) when Morehead State is a road dog of +10 to +20.

-> Morehead State ranks 345th out of 363 teams in Adjusted Tempo at KenPom and #351 in Average Possession Length. They know their best chance is to slow this game to a crawl and limit Clemson's possessions.