Recent Play Details

AMAZING DEAL FROM WAGERTALK'S 2 BEST MARCH MADNESS CAPPERS

Ralph Michaels is #1 in March Madness profit over the last 5 NCAA Tournaments combined.

Dwayne Bryant has finished #1 in profit, win percentage, or ROI in 3 of the last 4 NCAA Tournaments.

Right now, you can get BOTH Ralph and Dwayne's March Madness plays through the Championship game for just $169. That's a $129 savings over buying each of them separately! Don't miss out!   wt.buzz/db

9 PM ET -- College Basketball

677 Villanova 
678 Liberty  

Play: 1H UNDER 63.5 (-110)

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 63 or better
2% play at 62.5
1% play at 62

My college hoops totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Additional Trends/Angles/Thoughts:

NOTE: I'm not concerned with sample size.  My focus is on current-season data, preferably with a margin of victory of more than two possessions (6 points).

-> UNDER is 4-1 this season (by 11.2 ppg) when Liberty is at home against teams with a winning percentage between 50% and 60%.

-> UNDER is 1-3 this season (by 9.25 ppg) when Villanova is on the road against teams averaging 16 or more assists per game on the season.