Recent Play Details

3% Take Utah (#551)

The Miami Heat have consistently failed as a favorite.  Dating back to mid-January, the Heat have been favored by -3.5 or higher eight times – against the Pelicans, Magic, Hornets (twice), Pacers, Rockets, 76ers (without Embiid) and New York (without Brunson).  They are 0-8 ATS in those games, consistently and repeatedly unable to build and maintain margins in their victories. 

At -3 or higher for the full season, Miami is 10-23-1 ATS; consistent money losers.  And it’s surely worth noting that the Heat are playing their eleventh game since the All Star Break, including three sets of back-to-backs; a particularly grueling stretch both mentally (one tight game after the next) and physically.  They played back-2-backs over the weekend, including an OT game at Orlando to close out the two game set. 

Meanwhile, Utah has only played nine games since the break without a single set of back-2-backs; clearly the fresher team today even at the tail end of their long road trip.  And there’s a decent chance the Jazz will get offensive sparkplug Jordan Clarkson back in the lineup this evening as well. Bottom line?  Take the points!  Take the Jazz

Line Parameter: 3% at +7 or higher, 2% at +6.5 or lower