Recent Play Details

4% Take Minnesota (#547)

The Hawks are 3-4 SU since Quin Snyder was hired, picking up right where Nate McMillan left off – an underachieving squad that struggles to bring intensity to the defensive end of the court.  Those ongoing defensive struggles continue to be an issue for Atlanta, especially in this pointspread range, where the Hawks have failed consistently.  As a mid-range favorite, from between -3 and -7, the Hawks are a woeful 4-14 ATS – fading them in this role has cashed at a 78% clip full season.  They’ve failed to cover -3, -7 and -6.5 point spreads since the All Star Break, continuing their long term trend as a ‘fade only’ team in this pointspread range.

Minnesota is coming off a heartbreaking one point loss in OT to the Nets; their second consecutive defeat --- there’s urgency for the T-wolves right now and they sit in the #7 spot in the West, one game behind the crucial ‘avoid the play-in games’ sixth seed. This team has been at their best on the highway in recent weeks, pulling outright upsets at Dallas (+6), the LA Clippers (+6.5), Utah (+9), New Orleans (+2) and Sacramento (+4.5) while covering as short road chalk against the Lakers.  Expect a battle, not a blowout in a game that has ‘down to the final possession’ written all over it!  Take the T-wolves

Line Parameter: 4% at +5 or higher, 3% at +4.5 or lower