Recent Play Details

3% Take Oklahoma City (#541)

I want no part of the Spurs after this team -- fighting for the #1 overall draft choice, not a playoff spot – just knocked off the Western Conference leading Nuggets on Friday Night. Greg Popovich’s team is 0-6 ATS in their last six tries after scoring 125+ in their previous contest and 2-10 ATS in their last dozen tries playing on one day’s rest.  Each of the Spurs last 17 losses has come by six points or more; not a team that’s hanging tough and faltering at the end. 

OKC handled San Antonio relatively easily in both previous meetings this season.  With Shai Gilgeous Alexander healthy again, they’re rolling right now: 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five games; every win coming by nine points or more -- they’re extending margins.  And it’s surely worth noting OKC’s 67% ATS run since the beginning of February as favorites; beating the teams they are supposed to beat by margin. Chalk worth laying!  Take the Thunder

Line Parameter: 3% at -4 or lower, 2% at -4.5 or higher