Recent Play Details

3% Take Arkansas (#620)

After beating Arkansas over Christmas break, LSU was sitting at 12-1.  Of course, the schedule told the real story – the Tigers were double digit favorites in nine of those first 13 ballgames; outclassing most of their non-conference competition. 

Since that win over the Razorbacks, the wheels have come off the LSU train.  They’re 0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS since New Year’s.  Each of their last five losses have been largely non-competitive, losing by 13, 11, 40, 18 and 19, despite being +5 or less in three of those contests.  This is NOT a team primed to hit the highway and hang tough against an opponent with in-season revenge.

Arkansas, too, struggled out of the gate in SEC play after a solid non-conference run.  When they lost at LSU, it was an ugly shooting effort: 37% from the floor, 4-25 from three point range and just 5-10 at the charity stripe.  The Hogs have fixed their three point shooting: 19% in their first four conference games, 40% in the last three.  They remain in the Top 25 in the nation at both getting to the free throw line and making their attempts.  That first meeting was an aberration; not a harbinger of things to come.

Arkansas just righted the ship with a double digit win vs Ole Miss, following a particularly frustrating loss at Missouri in which four Hogs fouled out and the Tigers shot 40 free throws in a ‘blown double digit lead’ defeat.  Make no mistake about it – Arkansas is a good basketball team and now that they’re stopped the bleeding, they’re worthy of support tonight in a ‘revenge blowout’ spot.  Take Arkansas.

Line Parameter: 3% at -13.5 or lower, 2% at -14 or higher