Recent Play Details

4% Wyoming (11:00 ET): Wyoming has been one of the unluckiest teams in the country, not just the Mountain West, so far. Amidst poor health, the Cowboys started conference play with six consecutive losses and were 4-13 overall heading into Saturday’s home game with Colorado State. Shot Quality data suggested that record should have been a lot better though (9-8) and sure enough the Pokes FINALLY broke through with a 58-57 win over CSU in Laramie. I think that the turnaround should continue Tuesday night here in Las Vegas. 

UNLV is a team that’s reeling as well. The Runnin’ Rebels have dropped four straight and six of seven. The lone win in that stretch is when I took them, plus the points, and they handed New Mexico just its second loss of the season. A number of those losses have been close for the Rebels, but not so much on Saturday when they got beat 76-63 at Fresno State, as a 3.5-point favorite. 

So we’ve got the bottom two teams in the MWC, both of whom have struggled to close out close games. I see no reason why NOT to take the points here. UNLV is just 1-6 ATS as a home favorite this season. The data shows that it’s been Wyoming with the worse luck, therefore they’re the side more “due” for a turnaround. Hunter Maldanado being back is key. He missed the game vs. Air Force last week before returning against Colorado State. His numbers weren’t great Saturday, but the Cowboys still were up 14 at the half. I expect Maldanado to shoot better than 3 for 8 from the floor tonight. Look for the visitors to slow the tempo down and, at the very least, stay within the number. 4% Wyoming (Play to +2)