The ML in this matchup is -173 so I’ll lay 1.5 strokes with confidence. Zalatoris has finished 2nd and 7th the last two years while Matsuyama has finished 30th, 53rd and 45th the last three years. Zalatoris was way better in the Tourney of Champions and Matsuyama still doesn’t have a top 20 finish since the LIV rumors with him started. Matsuyama’s driving has been particularly bad, and that doesn’t bode well on this long South Course. Over the last 6 months, there’s nothing that Matsuyama is doing well, and we always like supporting Zalatoris on tough technical courses like this South Course.
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