3% Take Orlando (#530)
Orlando started the season 5-20 SU, looking very much like a bottom feeder, like they were last year. Since that awful start, the Magic are 12-9 SU, 15-6 ATS in their last 21 ballgames, an Under-the-Radar pointspread powerhouse. Point guard Markelle Fultz: “Every day, we come in, we believe we can give ourselves a chance to win if we follow the gameplan and believe in ourselves. These wins are helping us build more confidence.” Orlando has won SU as an underdog against the Celtics (twice), Raptors, Warriors, Blazers and Clippers during this span – they’re capable of hanging tough and winning, even against quality foes. And they’re playing off a rare poorly played loss in their last outing, blown out by the Wizards on the second of back-2-backs. Orlando off a loss: 5-0 ATS in their last five tries; 8-2 ATS in their last ten tries.
The Celtics won’t have Marcus Smart or Malcolm Brogdon on the floor this evening; their two best perimeter defenders. Big man Robert Williams – their best low post defender -- may not suit up either. Leading scorer and MVP candidate Jayson Tatum has been upgraded to probable, but let’s not forget that the Celtics have a showdown in Miami tomorrow – I’m not convinced he’ll get his usual minutes this evening, even if he does play. Boston is coming off a pair of ultra-intense games – a rally from behind to win in OT vs Golden State, then hanging on for a two point win at Toronto over the weekend. Even in ‘revenge’ mode for a pair of losses to the Magic at home last month, I’m not convinced the Celtics are primed to win by margin on the highway this evening. Too many points! Take the Magic.
Line Parameter: 3% at +7.5 or higher, 2% at +7 or lower
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