7 PM ET -- College Basketball
867 Chicago State
868 Coastal Carolina
Play: 1H UNDER 68 (-110)
Bet Size: 5%
Line Parameters:
5% play at 67 or better
4% play at 66.5
3% play at 66
2% play at 65.5
1% play at 65
My college hoops totals plays are determined by a combination of relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
Additional Trends/Angles/Thoughts:
-> Play Under - All teams where the first-half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%).
14-3 (82.4%) over the last 5 seasons. 27-6 (81.8%) since 1997.
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