Recent Play Details

4% Take Orlando (#503)

My clients and I have been riding the Orlando Magic as underdogs in recent weeks.  Let me start with an excerpt from my last pro-Magic write-up.  Numbers have been slightly adjusted to reflect the results of last night’s come-from-behind win and cover against the Pelicans: 

“The Magic are as undervalued as any team in the NBA right now.  Orlando started the season 5-20 SU, looking very much like a bottom feeder.  Since that awful start, the Magic are 12-8 SU, 15-5 ATS in their last 19 ballgames, an Under-the-Radar pointspread powerhouse.  Point guard Markelle Fultz: “Every day, we come in, we believe we can give ourselves a chance to win if we follow the gameplan and believe in ourselves. These wins are helping us build more confidence.”  Orlando has won SU as an underdog against the Celtics, Raptors, Warriors, Blazers, Pelicans and Clippers during this span.”

Yes, Orlando is on the second of back-2-backs tonight, but they had been off since last Sunday – this team isn’t gassed right now, especially considering their quality depth.  Only one player was on the court for more than 26 minutes in last night’s victory.  It’s surely worth noting that the Magic have cashed at a 63% clip this season on the second of back to backs…..

Washington got Bradley Beal back in the lineup for their last game and beat the struggling Knicks by double digits.  Beal hasn’t been a difference maker for this team in 2022-23 – they’re just 11-12 SU when he’s played 20+ minutes in a game this season.  They’ve only cashed at a 40% clip at home this year and they’re a woeful 2-6 ATS when asked to lay -3 or higher, not a team to trust in this pointspread range even with their All Star back on the floor.  Take the Magic.

Line Parameter: 4% at +6 or higher, 3% at +5.5 or lower