Recent Play Details

Hungry vs Satisfied

• Since 2017 after a loss, road favs with the rest disadvantage are 33-9 ATS (78.6%) vs <45% win teams off a win
• Those road favs are 11-0 SU/ATS if they are not a short fav (more than -6) winning by 20.4 ppg
• Since 2019, Clippers as a fav off a loss are 26-10 ATS (72.2%) as long as Kawhi and PG are in the lineup

This is a chance to back a hungry Clippers team off B2B double digit losses vs a satisfied Spurs team off a win.  Both PG and Kawhi are listed as “likely” to play with George's minutes restriction expected to be bumped up to 35 minutes.  Kawhi's L5 games vs his former team (Spurs) the Clippers are 4-1 winning by an average of 16 ppg.  LAC have 18 wins as a favorite this season and have covered 14 of them winning by 10.1 ppg.  Looking at the Spurs when they are a mid size dog of 5 to 10 (not catching double digits and not in a good enough spot to have a competitive spread), they are 8-16 ATS with the average line at -7.5.  The Clippers have been the better offensive/defensive rated and rebounding team L5 games and once Kawhi/PG are both officially in the line will move.  This is a play up to -10.