Recent Play Details

I will make this short. Let’s start with Cincy; if you look at their last 9 games, they have put up, 24, 27, 22, 34, 23, 27, 20, 37 and 42 points. Those are huge numbers and it shows that their offense is clicking right now. The Bills are even better at scoring, putting up 34, 35, 35, 32, 20, 24, 28, 30 and 31 points their last 9 games. 6 of the Bills last 9 have been over 30 points and I expect the exact same from both teams Sunday. Buffalo is the 2nd highest scoring team in football and the Bengals are the 8th highest scoring team. Both these teams average around 28 points per game and showed it again in the Wild Card games. Defensively, Buffalo was 6th best in allowing points all season, while Cincy was in the middle of the pack at 16 points. More importantly, however is that both teams are week in their passing D, with Buffalo at 15th in the league and Cincy at 23rd. So here we have 2 high profile, prolific offenses that both are pass first teams, playing mediocre pass D in a game where its win or go home. I think we see these teams playing exactly to their identity, setting up what I think might end up being the highest scoring game of this round. I see a 31/34-28/32 type of game here with at least 1 TD to spare on our Over. Take the Bengals and Bills Over 48.5 for my favourite play of this round.