3% Take Pepperdine – St Mary’s OVER (#843-844)
Lorenzo Romar’s Pepperdine squad isn’t playing a lick of defense these days. The Waves full season defensive numbers are mediocre; ranked in the middle of the pack in the college basketball world. But since the start of conference play, the Waves have allowed 91 to BYU, 95 to San Diego, 80 to Pacific, 89 to Santa Clara and 111 to Gonzaga in their five WCC games; running up and down the while allowing opponents to hit more than 50% of their shots. That difference between their full season numbers on defense and thieir current form is our sweet spot – the markets haven’t caught up yet! While St Mary’s isn’t a fast paced squad, they’re extremely efficient on offense, and have cashed back-2-back Overs. The Gaels scored 77 and 81 in the two meetings last year, both cashing Overs. Expect more of the same tonight. Take the OVER
Line Parameter: 3% at 143.5 or lower, 2% at 144 or higher
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