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I don’t like this spot for the Philadelphia 76ers one bit.  James Harden and company have been hanging out in LA for two days since their one-point win over the Lakers.  For a team that’s known to enjoy the nightlife and lifestyle of NBA stardom, a couple of days in LA is probably not a good thing for their focus and execution tonight.

This is Philly’s third game in four days on this road trip, and they’ve already won the first two, both by a single point – there’s no urgency here for the road favorite.  And it’s Philly’s 9th game in the last 16 days – this isn’t a ‘fresh’ team this evening; in the midst of a truly grueling stretch.  Note that the Sixers have been feasting on the weak of late.  Each of their last five games has all come against sub-.500 foes, none of whom are known for playing much defense.  On the road vs a team with a winning home record, Doc Rivers's squad is just 1-7 ATS (12%) in their last eight tries, an Under-the-Radar Angle worth riding tonight.

LA has been dealing with key injuries all year, and they won’t have John Wall or Luke Kennard in the lineup this evening.  They may get Paul George back, and if George ends up playing, we’ll be getting the best of the number, with LA currently sitting as an underdog.  That said, I’m quite comfortable backing LA even if Paul George doesn’t suit up. 

There’s urgency for the Clippers RIGHT NOW.  They lost six in a row to close out 2022 and open 2023, but now they’ve won two of their last three, making up ground in a loaded Western Conference.  Kawhi Leonard is back at full strength; Marcus Morris is expected to suit up this evening, and LA showed true defensive intensity down the stretch of their last game, holding Houston to ten points in the fourth quarter.  Expect that ‘lock-in’ fourth-quarter defense to be a difference-maker tonight.  

Take the LA Clippers.

Line Parameter: NOTE this line has the potential to jump around today.  4% at pk or as an underdog, 3% at -1 or higher