Recent Play Details

I've seen enough of these two teams to be fairly confident that we are catching a bucket with the better team here.  I also think Fairfield's 0-6 road record is a bit deceiving because Fairfield spent the entire month of November on the road while their new arena was being finished.  

What that means is four of Fairfield's road losses were their 0-4 start but I'm willing to give the Stags a pass for losing to teams like Xavier and Wake Forest.  Fairfield's other two road losses were at Manhattan after an MTE and last time out at Iona which was actually a very impressive performance by Fairfield losing 75-69 as a +17.5 point underdog. 

St Peter's got off to a decent start but the Peacocks are turning into what I thought they would be this season.  The majority of the team that made the dream run to the Elite Eight last year is gone and now St Peters is, once again, a bottom feeding MAAC team with a below average roster and first year coach in Bashir Mason.  St Peter's rates among the worst offensive teams in the country and I think that plays into Fairfield's hands here because the Stags are essentially a slightly better version of St Peters.  

Fairfield, unlike St Peter's, looks the part when you see them play in person, I thought they were the better side against a good Yale team until they started missing free throws and kicking the ball all over the place.  Fairfield has since cleaned up the turnover issues and is hitting 72.2% from the free throw line which should be their path to victory in this game.

The injury to Brycen Goodine was a killer but TJ Long has stepped up in recent games and I just like what I've seen out of the Stags lately.  Fairfield has three straight losses but arguably to the top three teams in the MAAC in Siena, Niagara and Iona.  Fairfield already hammered St Peter's once and I think the drop in class plays in favor of Fairfield here.

Play on Fairfield +2 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)