Recent Play Details

This line is a little bit of a chin-scratcher, but we're going to dive in. According to the WagerTalk live odds screen, 70-percent of the tickets and 94-percent of the money is on Seattle in this contest. The Mariners have won 18 of their last 22 games, including a four-game sweep of the Rangers before the All-Star break. The Rangers are 0-10 in Dane Dunning's last ten starts. And the moneyline hasn't moved an in inch all day. That's a little bit of cause for concern, but we will happily oppose Dunning (again...the Rangers have lost each of his last ten starts) at an affordable price.

The alarming thing about this stretch is the teams that Dunning has faced. Since Memorial Day, he's pitched against the Orioles, Royals, Nationals, Tigers and A's. If you can't pick up a single win against those five teams, well, you're probably not going to enjoy your trip to Seattle. His road ERA is over two runs higher than his home ERA (5.52 vs 3.42). He's got a 1.69 WHIP away from home compared to 1.18 in Texas. In his last eight starts, he's posted a 15.2-percent strikeout rate, which is very low.

Seattle starting pitcher George Kirby has been a welcomed addition to the Mariners' rotation this season. He's pitched 64.1 innings so far, and allowed nine total walks compared to 62 strikeouts. That is a fantastic ratio for a 24-year-old pitcher in his rookie season.

We don't feel comfortable laying the moneyline in this matchup and we don't want to play the -1.5 runline on the home team, who's not guaranteed to get nine at-bats. In our opinion, the best way to play Seattle tonight is on the first five runline (-0.5) which is widely available at -105 at the time of posting.