Recent Play Details

3% Take Boston – Golden State UNDER (#527-528)

What are the Celtics going to be able to do offensively that’s any sort of improvement out of what we’ve seen out of Boston three times in the last four games?  Boston has failed to reach 100 points in Games 2, 4 and 5, while getting positively stifled during crunch time in each one of those ballgames. Golden State has solved Jayson Tatum; they’ve solved Jaylen Brown, and the Celtics don’t have enough offensive firepower among their role players to light up the scoreboard here.  I expect Boston’s offensive woes to continue; a team that looks exhausted after playing back-2-back grueling seven game series before reaching the Finals.

Golden State got huge production out of nearly every key role player in Game 5 – Wiggins, Payton, Looney and Poole all had big games.  I wouldn’t count on a repeat performance from any one of those guys in a potential series closeout Game 6 on the highway.  It’s not like the Warriors have been lighting up the scoreboard against the Celtics elite defense – they still haven’t matched their series high 108 from Game 1.

Three of the last four games have cashed Under wagers with room to spare.  The only Over to cash in that span had a 34 combined points fourth quarter – hot shooting early, but defense controlling the flow after halftime.

The Celtics faced elimination twice against the Bucks.  Both games stayed Under the total as the Celtics rebounded to win the series.  They cashed three Unders in the last four games of their series against the Heat, including an Under in the one game where they faced elimination.  And it’s not like the Warriors aren’t facing their own fatigue issues, as Steph Curry’s Game 5 shooting clearly shows.  Expect another relatively low scoring affair on Thursday Night in Boston.  Take the UNDER.

Line Parameter: 3% at 208 or higher, 2% at 207.5 or lower