Recent Play Details

5% Big Ticket: Take Boston (#525)

Let me start here: neither one of these two teams is four points better than their opponent, on any floor.

Or I could start with this: Here in the Playoffs, the Celtics are 7-0 SU, 7-0 ATS off a loss. The Celtics are now 14-1 SU/13-2 ATS off a loss since January; as ‘bet-on’ as it gets coming off a defeat.

My clients and I have cashed repeatedly with the Celtics in this role throughout the postseason. Boston is 8-3 SU on the highway; I’ve cashed three previous 5% Big Ticket Reports backing Boston as underdogs on the road off a loss vs Miami and Milwaukee.  I trust Boston in this role – period.

The Celtics are certainly a confident bunch, even after their Game 4 home loss.  Jaylen Brown: “A lot of great basketball is still in front of us.  We take our mistakes and learn from them…I’m excited to see how we respond…I’ll take our group, our guys, versus anybody.”  Jayson Tatum: “(Game 4) was a tough loss and we understand that.  We’ve been here before.  This is (the) third (series) in a row I feel like we’ve been here.  So we know what it takes.  We know what we have to do and attention to detail and things like that.  I’m confident like I have been all playoffs, confident in the fact that we’ll respond and play better for the majority of the game (on Monday).”

The Warriors won Game 4 by double digits, but don’t be fooled by that final score for even a minute. The Celtics led 94-90 with under 5:00 to play, but went cold down the stretch.  Meanwhile, Steph Curry enjoyed his best game of the series as the Warriors outscored Boston 17-3 during crunchtime.  This has happened before in the postseason on multiple occasions; the Celtics have responded positively every time.  I’m not expecting a similar end-game tonight.  And with Celtics low post defensive stud Robert Williams expected to suit up this evening after sitting out that stretch run in Game 4 with knee issues, the Celtics are worthy of 5% Big Ticket status in a game they’re live to win SU as underdogs.  Big Ticket: Take the Celtics.

Line Parameter: 5% at +3.5 or higher, 4% at +3 or lower