Recent Play Details

4:05 PM ET -- MLB

Game: (959) Washington Nationals at (960) San Francisco Giants

Play: UNDER 7.5 (-105)

List Pitchers: Gray & Cobb

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 7.5 or better 
2% play at 7

My MLB totals plays are determined by a combination of statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games  (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Some key trends/angles:

-> WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

-> WASHINGTON is 11-3 UNDER after a loss this season.

-> SAN FRANCISCO is 20-8 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons.

-> MARTINEZ is 18-5 UNDER revenging a road blowout loss of 6 runs or more as the manager of WASHINGTON.

-> KAPLER is 22-9 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO.

-> BEN MAY is a very pitcher-friendly home plate umpire.