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  • Event: (955) Atlanta Braves at (956) Tampa Bay Rays
    Sport/League: MLB
    Date/Time: July 28, 2020 6PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Tampa Bay Rays -130
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Win

    PLAY: Tampa Bay and Chirinos -130 (play good to -150
    3% play rating

    LIST PITCHERS: Wright and Chirnos

     

    Tampa right-hander Jonny Chirinos closed the 2019 season on a 9-2 run. The Rays young flame-thrower makes his season debut when the Rays and the Braves hook up at the Trop. 

    The Braves are sending their No.5 to the hill and for all intent and purpose have a liability with Wright filling this spot.  
     
    Chirinos was rock solid as a starting pitcher a season ago. This bait as part of a group of pitchers that play the charade of being a starting pitcher but do so for a single inning or two. The litter  of relievers present issues for opposing lineups and especially those that don't play each other during the regular season.  
     
    Chirinos recorded a 3.29 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 117.2 IP last summer. Jonny recorded a 22% K and earned a 5% BB rate. His 4.16 SIERA isn't a seriously strong indicator of who Chirinos is as a reliever/starter.  His .259 BABIP is due for some negative regression. Jonny pitches to soft contact for the most part and his 32% Hard Contact is the only issue I believe can distract the young pitcher.  Chirinos demands that opposing hitters barrel the bat in a spot where VegasCris wants them too. and he does own a stellar walk rate (5% BB).  
     
    To close last year’s regular season Chrinos tossed 7 straight quality starts. Of those 7 QS, six of them came against BOS, NYY, TEX, and OAK.
     
    Wright, his handlers and the Braves fan base would like you to believe that a second start is a charm for the young right-hander. The young righty was in the Braves’ rotation at the beginning of last season, starting three games before he was returned to the minor leagues with an unsightly 7.07 ERA. 
     
    Wright isn't just any run-of-the-mill young arm. He was Atlanta's fifth overall pick in the 2017 draft. And it will take a large amount of failure for the organization to give up on him. 
     
    Atlanta's pitching prospect is all but ignored by the national media. And all of the mentions, most being negative, are for good reason. His four-pitch mix that includes a 95 mph fastball, curve, slider, and changeup, has collected hard contact. Wright's current surface numbers will not get him a job on a postseason contender (7.71 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in 2019. ) The issue that Wright faces and has faced is his inability to get his fastball by hitters despite the 95 mph radar gun indicator. 
     
    Unless Wright can improve his swinging strike rate he can't and won't live up to  a 5th overall pick. 
     
    And tonight contest against a high baseball IQ squad in Tampa proves to be too much for the Braves young pitcher to defeat.
     
    Chirinos -125
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