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Kyle Anthony
  • Event: (24705) Bethe Correia at (24706) Pannie Kianzad
    Sport/League: MMA
    Date/Time: July 26, 2020 1AM EDT
    Play: 3% – Pannie Kianzad -140
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Win

    Bethe Correia is a long time MMA vet who's seen highs and low's in her career, and a skill set leaving a lot to be desired with very simplistic striking, low volume and limited movement. In her fight against Holly Holm, they both danced around the cage most of the fight. Yes, Holly has great kick boxing but hardly ever did Bethe attempt to out work her. As they jockey for position seeking moments to counter, both did nothing. Even during the fight the ref stopped the action, pulled both girls in and requested they engage more. Round 3 Bethe mocked Holly then 30 seconds later Holm landed a head kick dropping Bethe giving her the TKO win. 2 fights ago Correia faced Irene Aldana whom I'm very high on. In this bout Aldana showed in and out combinations, foot work and range. Bethe would lunge forward seeking the big shot, but Aldana out worked her most of the fight, until round 3 Aldana sunk in an armbar to get the victory. Last fight Correia faced Sijara Eubanks who's 3-2 in the UFC. In round 1 Eubanks almost put Bethe away dropping her then adding vicious ground and pound. At a point it was very close being stopped but Bethe survived. Rounds 2 and 3 were close but showed Bethe's limited stand up game and weak grappling edging out a win. 

    Pannie Kianzad is a product of the UFC's The Ultimate Fighter where she was a finalist. In the finals she lost to the shows #1 overall pick Macy Chiasson, where Macy's higher level striking was to much for the Pannie. The most eye opening fight was Kianzad's most recent one against a tough Jessica-Rose Clark. Early Pannie was patient getting a read on Clark's movement, then rounds 2 and 3 showed off her boxing skills dictating the pace of the fight. I was impressed with her elevation from prior fights tying together loose ends in her game. Clark has a solid stand up skill set with more weapons then Bethe will offer up Saturday night. Pannie dealt with those attacks well countering when needed and being the aggressor in spots. Lets face it, Bethe Correia is a weaker version of Jessica-Rose Clark with less arsonal of weapons. 

    At 37 years old Bethe Correia is who she is. Never over her UFC career has she changed her gameplan or fighting style making her very predictable. Her slow developing combinations and footwork leaves her open for combinations and hitable in the pocket. Bethe is 2-4 in her last 6 UFC fights never mixing up her strategy. Pannie Kianzad has better striking, slicker boxing skills with a snapping check hook and jab setting up her offense. She'll also have a slight reach advantage of 2 inches just adds more leverage for Pannie to win. At -140 the market is giving us implied probability of 58% providing us with great value in this spot to wager.

    Play: Pannie Kianzad 

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