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Recent Play Details

Nick Borrman
  • Event: RB Leipzig at Augsburg
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: June 27, 2020 9AM EDT
    Play: 3% – RB Leipzig -1.5 (+100)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    Germany Bundesliga

    I like several plays in the Bundesliga's final weekend.  Some fading the team with something to play for, other times on the team that has everything to play for.  In this particular case, it's just the better team.

    Leipzig has scored 2.39 goals per match this year while xG suggested they performed close to expected, averaging 2.21 xG goals per game and very similarly defesnively, averaging 1.09 allowed with xG numbers only slightly higher at 1.15.  Augsburg's numbers are similar with 1.33 goals scored and 1.31 xG, and 1.85 goals allowed with a sligthly lower 1.72 xG.

    So when these team's played the first time and Leipzig won 3-1 with an xG tally of 3.85-0.60, it suggests that was no fluke and no reason to think the same won't be true again here, especially with a reason to get it done.


    Line Parameter: 3% at -1.5 up to -125, 2% at -1.75

    Correct Score: 0.25% Augsburg 0-3 RB Leipzig (+1000) and 0.25% Augsburg 1-3 RB Leipzig (+950)