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Recent Play Details

Kyle Anthony
  • Event: Justin Gaethje vs Tony Ferguson
    Sport/League: MMA
    Date/Time: May 9, 2020 6PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Justin Gaethje win via KO +200
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    In the main event of UFC 249, Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje takes center stage.

    Since this fight was annouced I was very bullish on Gaethje for many reasons. Short notice on their first attempt setting this fight only slightly worried me, but now with 3 extra weeks I'm feeling even better about Gaethje chance to win. 

    When rewatching Ferguson's last few fights, one thing is consistant...he's very hitable. Yes he has an unorthodox style but striking defense seems to lack in spots. His willingness to be overly creative could hurt him more then help him against the power of Gaethje. Plus coming off a very serious knee injury is a red flag. Against Anthony Pettis the first leg kick that connected on Ferguson caused him to instantly limp. It's a soft spot that'll be exposed against the hardest leg kicker in the UFC in Justin Gaethje. Mixing up leg kicks and strikes up top will leave openings for him to work. Add in the fact Ferguson made weight 3 weeks ago for no reason, is another red flag. Draining his body then building it back up isn't smart. 

    Putting it together, I believe Gaethje pushes forward and tests the chin of Ferguson early. Many people believe Gaethje can only win early otherwise Ferguson will win late. That storyline has been beaten to death. Gaethje can end this fight early or late. At this price for Justin in a 5 round fight, I'm all over it. Method of victory play for me this fight. At +200 Gaethje wins by KO is worth that plus money price.

    Justin Gaethje win via KO +200 (Line from Fanduel)

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