WagerTalk NFL handicapper Andy Lang offers his Tampa Bay Bucs vs New York Giants Monday Night Football betting preview. At the time of posting, the Buccaneers are an 11-point home favorite over the visiting Giants, with the total sitting at 49.5 points.<\/p>\n
Stay on top of the latest NFL<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n The Giants should be feeling better going into Monday Night as it appears Saquon Barkley will be returning, and he will be going up against a defense that was elite early in the year, but has really struggled the last two weeks giving up 36 to the Saints and 29 to the Football Team. Brady has also seemed shaky in the passing game, but it really hasn\u2019t been because of a ton of pressure as he\u2019s only been hit once the last two games, and the completion percentage hasn\u2019t dipped, but the turnovers have. He has two interceptions each of the last two games, and coming into these two games he had three combined in seven games. This could be a tough matchup for Brady as the Giants have forced at least one interception in six straight game.<\/p>\n To build on the Giants defense, they\u2019ve been good the last three weeks allowing only three points to Carolina, 20 to Kansas City, and 16 to Las Vegas. In those three games they had a combined 68 pressures on the quarterback, but they have been exposed in the running game against good rushing offenses as the Raiders and Cowboys both averaged over five yards a carry against them. That\u2019s the weakness of the defense, and it will be interesting to see if Tampa tries to exploit that as they have not committed to the run the last two weeks having less than 15 carries in each of those games.<\/p>\n The Tampa defense hasn\u2019t been bad in their last two losses, but they\u2019ve failed to make plays in key situations. Ill-times penalties have extended drives for the other teams, and third down defense has gotten worst as the year has gone on and last week Washington converted 57% of third downs. If you\u2019re wondering how important third down defense is, the worst eight teams on third down last week all lost. They can\u2019t allow the Giants to extend drives so they\u2019ll have to keep Saquon in check along with Daniel Jones. Jones has been anything but flashy this year, but considering all the injuries and lack of availability at the skill positions, he\u2019s done decent. Only five interceptions this year, and three were in one game against the Rams. He has no games over 270 yards passing that didn\u2019t go to overtime, and they just can\u2019t stretch the field as he\u2019s been under seven yards a completion four games in a row.<\/p>\n Prediction: UNDER 49.5…Lean Giants +10.5<\/strong><\/p>\n I\u2019m going with the under here at 49.5 points fairly confidently. We have a Tampa offense who has been sputtering lately against a Giants defense who has been playing combined with a limited Giants offense going up against a Tampa defense who has elite talent, and are only a few adjustments away from being back to the great defense we saw early in the year. Antonio Brown and Gronk being out has affected the Tampa offense, and even though Saquon is back don\u2019t expect a full workload in his return.<\/p>\n I see touchdowns being a little tough to come by, especially on the Giants side so getting over 50 points is going to be a tall order. I lean taking the points as I believe it\u2019s a lower scoring game, and the Giants D should present problems for Brady, but not as confident as the under as the Giants lack of explosion on offense could lead to a big win for Tampa if the Bucs get going at home in primetime.<\/p>\n \ud83c\udfc8 NFL teams that lose to a division rival on the road should be hungry for revenge when they play that team at home, right? Not so much. On Thursday’s edition of WagerTalk Today, @CalSportsLV<\/a> did some myth busting on some #NFL<\/a> division trends. \u2014 WagerTalk (@WagerTalk) November 19, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\nTampa Bay Bucs vs New York Giants Betting Notes<\/h3>\n
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